All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
NIC Stomp |
NorthWood Invitational |
South Bend City Meet |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
NIC/NLC Conference |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
8/31 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
636 |
620 |
405 |
600 |
607 |
633 |
600 |
737 |
|
681 |
685 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
620 |
405 |
600 |
607 |
584 |
600 |
720 |
|
667 |
672 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
NIC Stomp |
NorthWood Invitational |
South Bend City Meet |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
NIC/NLC Conference |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 37 |
Skip Morrell |
12 |
16:13 |
16:22 |
16:11 |
16:22 |
16:12 |
16:06 |
15:59 |
16:22 |
|
16:24 |
16:32 |
16:07 |
16:20 |
| 404 |
Bill Powers |
11 |
17:24 |
17:11 |
17:26 |
17:14 |
17:27 |
17:00 |
17:29 |
17:47 |
|
17:19 |
17:30 |
|
|
| 517 |
Saul Garcia |
12 |
17:35 |
17:22 |
17:35 |
17:37 |
17:26 |
17:30 |
17:20 |
17:47 |
|
17:51 |
17:46 |
|
|
| 577 |
Joe Deahl |
11 |
17:42 |
17:29 |
17:46 |
17:33 |
17:34 |
17:39 |
17:46 |
18:04 |
|
17:46 |
17:38 |
|
|
| 1,557 |
Luke Miller |
9 |
18:55 |
19:16 |
18:59 |
18:44 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dillon Blank |
11 |
19:03 |
19:29 |
18:39 |
18:40 |
18:52 |
19:32 |
18:44 |
19:09 |
|
19:48 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
Sam Mark |
11 |
19:14 |
19:41 |
19:05 |
18:57 |
|
|
19:19 |
|
19:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Oscar Noem |
11 |
19:14 |
|
19:13 |
19:13 |
19:10 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gabe Kloski |
10 |
19:16 |
19:22 |
19:25 |
19:22 |
19:30 |
19:54 |
19:02 |
19:07 |
|
19:05 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
Peter Amat |
11 |
19:21 |
19:51 |
19:34 |
19:32 |
19:36 |
|
19:18 |
19:14 |
|
19:13 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
Ryan Wieneke |
10 |
19:28 |
19:22 |
19:10 |
20:04 |
19:28 |
19:55 |
19:22 |
|
19:26 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.4 |
144 |
|
0.6 |
2.5 |
8.3 |
17.9 |
23.8 |
22.9 |
14.7 |
9.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.3 |
76 |
|
17.5 |
34.6 |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Skip Morrell |
95.8% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
95.8% |
95.8% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Skip Morrell |
100% |
8.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
4.9 |
9.4 |
12.7 |
15.5 |
14.7 |
10.1 |
7.0 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Bill Powers |
25.2% |
78.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.2% |
25.2% |
| Saul Garcia |
3.4% |
88.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.4% |
3.4% |
| Joe Deahl |
0.9% |
95.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
0.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Skip Morrell |
100% |
1.0 |
82.6 |
10.2 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bill Powers |
100% |
26.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Saul Garcia |
100% |
32.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Joe Deahl |
100% |
37.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Skip Morrell |
1.0 |
91.7 |
4.7 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bill Powers |
10.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
6.3 |
12.1 |
21.3 |
17.7 |
17.0 |
10.5 |
7.8 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Saul Garcia |
13.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
4.7 |
10.3 |
14.3 |
17.6 |
15.3 |
15.1 |
10.3 |
5.9 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
| Joe Deahl |
14.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
4.4 |
7.1 |
10.2 |
14.6 |
15.8 |
20.6 |
10.1 |
7.3 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
